the questionWhat did the 2025 short-seller reports allege, how did AppLovin respond, and what has been confirmed?
1The reports
analysisFuzzy Panda Research and Culper Research published on February 26, 2025 and Muddy Waters Research on March 27, 2025, each disclosing a short position; Culper followed with a second report on June 12, 2025. The shares fell 12% on the day of the first reports. 1 2 3 4 5
sources in this section
- Research source · src-080 identified by category only · Research
- Media source · src-065 identified by category only · Media
- Research source · src-076 identified by category only · Research
- Research source · src-081 identified by category only · Research
- Research source · src-079 identified by category only · Research
2Fuzzy Panda Research
analysisFuzzy Panda alleged that AppLovin's AXON 2.0 algorithm rests on tactics former staff and experts call ad fraud, that ads were programmed to "click themselves", that children's accounts set to "Do Not Track" received a persistent identifier and that its tests showed sexual ads served to children; citing unnamed former Adjust executives, it said AppLovin whitelisted itself in Adjust's fraud detection. Its findings rest on its own tests, code review and unnamed sources. 1
attributedFuzzy Panda Research alleged that AppLovin's AXON 2.0 algorithm is "the nexus of a House of Cards built upon tactics that formers and experts refer to as 'Ad Fraud'", that it had been told AppLovin was taking data from Meta for its e-commerce push, and that AppLovin violated Google's and Apple's app store policies. It said ads were programmed to "click themselves", that children's accounts set to "Do Not Track" received a persistent AppLovin identifier across apps, that an older SDK version collected 50 attributes on children, that user data was sent to third-party data brokers, and that its tests on children's devices showed sexual ads served to girls aged 7 and 12. 1
- qualification
- Fuzzy Panda held a short position; its findings rest on its own tests, code review and unnamed former employees. No regulator or court has ruled on these allegations in the record.
- response
- AppLovin's chief executive called the reports false and misleading, said the company does not track children's data, prohibits apps directed exclusively at children and does not work separately with data brokers.
attributedCiting unnamed former Adjust executives, Fuzzy Panda Research alleged that after buying Adjust, AppLovin whitelisted itself in Adjust's fraud detection and fired a majority of Adjust's anti-fraud team. 1
- qualification
- Based on unnamed sources. No regulator or court has ruled on these allegations in the record.
- response
- AppLovin said Adjust and MAX operations are "entirely independent and transparent, with no conflicts or house bias".
sources in this section
- Research source · src-076 identified by category only · Research
3Culper Research, February 2025
analysisCulper alleged that AppLovin's mobile-game growth rested on silent installs: from late 2022 it said a permission added to customers' apps through MAX SDK updates let them install apps outside Google Play via Array's AppHub, and that a PeopleFun game was installed without consent. It cited AppLovin staff describing Direct Download as the top revenue driver and a Samsung agreement "valued at $1 billion over 4 years", and wrote that insiders had sold nearly $2.0 billion of stock. 1 2
attributedCulper Research alleged that AppLovin used AXON 2.0 largely as a promotional tool and that its growth in mobile games rested on silent app installs from ads. It wrote that AppLovin had introduced Array in late 2022 to install apps on phones through device makers and carriers, and that from late 2022 through at least late 2024 it "smuggled" a permission into thousands of customers' apps via MAX SDK updates that let them bind to Array's AppHub and install apps outside the Google Play store, including in Subway Surfers, 8 Ball Pool, Wordscapes and Angry Birds 2. It said reviews alleged that Bricks n Balls, a game then owned by AppLovin's studio PeopleFun, was installed without consent, with install spikes in Brazil (May 2023) and India (September 2023) shortly after new Array partnerships with Samsung and OPPO, and cited AppLovin staff describing Direct Download as the company's top revenue driver and a Samsung agreement "valued at $1 billion over 4 years". It also alleged that the e-commerce programme was "rigged", with advertisers required to show $600,000 a month of spending on Meta so that AppLovin could see their ads through MAX and take credit for sales. 1 2
- qualification
- Culper held a short position; its findings rest on its own decompiling of code, app reviews and third-party data. No regulator or court has ruled on these allegations in the record.
- response
- AppLovin's chief executive said every download results from an explicit user choice, whether through the App Store or AppLovin's Direct Download experience, and that all promoted games comply with App Store policies.
attributedCulper Research wrote in February 2025 that over the previous twelve months insiders had sold nearly $2.0 billion of AppLovin stock and KKR had sold its entire remaining $7.3 billion stake. 1
- qualification
- KKR's full exit in 2024 is documented in AppLovin's filings; the dollar amounts were not checked.
sources in this section
- Research source · src-081 identified by category only · Research
- Research source · src-076 identified by category only · Research
4Muddy Waters Research
analysisMuddy Waters estimated that about 52% of e-commerce sales attributed to AppLovin are retargeting and only 25–35% incremental, against the chief executive's "nearly 100%", and that its pixel sends Facebook, Instagram, Snap and TikTok identifiers to AppLovin's servers to build "Persistent Identity Graphs" in breach of platform terms. It noted that Compass Analytics had disappeared from AppLovin's annual reports; the 2022 report described it and the 2025 report does not. 1 2 3
attributedMuddy Waters Research alleged that AppLovin is "Just Another Scammy AdTech Company": that about 52% of the e-commerce sales attributed to it are retargeting and only about 25-35% incremental, far below chief executive Adam Foroughi's claim of "nearly 100% incrementality"; that e-commerce customer churn was about 23% in the first quarter of 2025, based on 171 of 755 customer websites dropping the AppLovin pixel between January and March; and that its code systematically violates third-party platforms' terms of service, because its pixel sends Facebook, Instagram, Snap and TikTok identifiers from customers' websites to AppLovin's servers to build "Persistent Identity Graphs" used for fingerprinting without user consent. It further alleged that AppLovin disguised the data collection by renaming a token linked to its Compass Analytics software, which it said had been dropped from AppLovin's two latest annual reports, that AppLovin appeared to collect fewer third-party identifiers after the earlier short reports, "attempting to cover its tracks", and that it risked being deplatformed. The press summarised the report as saying AppLovin funnels targeted ads to users without their consent. 1 2 3
- qualification
- Muddy Waters held a short position. AppLovin's 2022 annual report described Compass Analytics as a tool within MAX, and the term does not appear in its 2025 annual report (the 2023 and 2024 reports were not checked); the other findings rest on Muddy Waters' own data analysis. No regulator or court has ruled on these allegations in the record.
- response
- AppLovin's chief executive has denied the short sellers' allegations; Muddy Waters itself quotes his February 26, 2025 statement that AppLovin obtains partner data only to provide advertising services and that Adjust and MAX operate independently.
sources in this section
- Research source · src-080 identified by category only · Research
- AppLovin Corporation annual report on Form 10-K for 2022 U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (EDGAR) · 2023
- Media source · src-082 identified by category only · Media
5Culper Research, June 2025
analysisCulper's second report alleged that Hao Tang controlled up to 28% of Class A before the IPO and that the chief executive's statement that AppLovin does not "operate inside China" was contradicted by agency deals with BlueFocus and eClickTech. eClickTech announced on January 15, 2025 that its Cyberklick brand had become AppLovin's first tier-one agent in Greater China, and BlueFocus's 2024 report summary says it became AppLovin's first certified e-commerce partner there; AppLovin's filings in the record do not mention either arrangement. 1 2 3
attributedIn its June 2025 report Culper Research alleged that AppLovin had been backed since at least 2017 by Hao Tang, who in its view controlled, through offshore companies, up to 28% of the Class A shares before the IPO (Angel Pride and Hontai App Fund together) and at least 9.8% at the time of the report. Besides the guarantee, Culper cited AP Investment Capital's trademark applications (saying Hong Kong records name Hao Tang as its sole director), Angel Pride directors it described as Tang proxies, an officer it said holds the same position at Prominence Trust and at Tang's Goldenway group, and addresses shared with other companies it attributes to Tang. 1
- qualification
- Culper Research published this while holding a short position in AppLovin; the account is its own and was not adopted by AppLovin or any authority in the record. The 28% figure equals the two holders' combined pre-IPO stakes in the prospectus, but SEC filings attribute Angel Pride's shares to Ling Tang and then Prominence Trust, not to Hao Tang; the Hong Kong and BVI records Culper cites for directors and officers are not retained.
sources in this section
- Research source · src-079 identified by category only · Research
- Company statement source · src-091 identified by category only · Company statement
- Company statement source · src-111 identified by category only · Company statement
6AppLovin's response and what followed
analysisIn a "Note from our CEO" dated February 26, 2025, Adam Foroughi called the reports false and misleading and aimed at driving down the stock. He said every download results from an explicit user choice, whether through the App Store or AppLovin's Direct Download experience, that AppLovin does not track children's data or work separately with data brokers, and that Adjust and MAX operate independently. In October 2025 the press reported that the SEC was examining allegations that AppLovin violated platform partners' service agreements, prompted by a whistleblower complaint and the short reports; no finding has been published. 1 2 3 4
unresolvedIn October 2025 the press reported, citing people familiar with the matter, that the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission was investigating allegations that AppLovin had violated platform partners' service agreements in order to push more targeted advertising to consumers, acting on a whistleblower complaint filed that year and on several short-seller reports. The reports said neither the company nor its officials had been accused of wrongdoing. AppLovin's shares fell 14% in regular trading after the report. 4 2
- qualification
- Neither the SEC nor AppLovin has publicly confirmed the subject or scope of an investigation. AppLovin's annual report for 2025 and its quarterly report for the second quarter of 2026 do not name an SEC investigation; they refer only in general terms to governmental and other regulatory investigations and proceedings.
- response
- An AppLovin spokesperson said the company does not typically comment on the "existence or non-existence" of regulatory matters, that it regularly engages with regulators and addresses inquiries in the ordinary course, and that material developments, if any, would be disclosed through the appropriate public channels.
- outcome
- In February 2026 the press reported that the SEC, refusing a records request on appeal, had written that an "investigation involving AppLovin is still active and ongoing" and that releasing staff correspondence might "cause harm to the ongoing and active enforcement investigation"; the SEC did not specify the subject or scope of the investigation or accuse AppLovin or its officials of wrongdoing. The SEC letter itself is not in the record.
sources in this section
- Company statement source · src-078 identified by category only · Company statement
- Media source · src-065 identified by category only · Media
- Research source · src-080 identified by category only · Research
- Media source · src-064 identified by category only · Media
timeline · 2025
- Fuzzy Panda Research and Culper Research publish short reports
- Muddy Waters Research publishes its short report
- Culper Research's second report alleges undisclosed control by Hao Tang
- Press reports an SEC investigation of AppLovin